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Eur/usd

EUR/USD Forex News Forex Analysis

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60 replies to this topic

#1 RusefSandi

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Posted 22 February 2019 - 11:29 AM

EUR/USD's revival has a totaling intend, focus upon German data and Draghi speech

EUR/USD's recovery rally has stalled in the last two days. Repeated failure at 1.1370 is a cause offense cause of matter for the bulls.
German GDP, scheduled for understandable at 07:00 GMT, is acclaimed to conduct yourself the build-up rate stalled in the fourth quarter. The EUR could moreover endorse cues from the take in hand-looking German IFO readings, due at 09:00 GMT.
ECB President Mario Draghi delivers Speech upon the occasion of the awarding of Laurea honoris causa to him by Universita Degli Studi di Bologna in Bologna, Italy, according to Reuters. The central bank head is likely to seal dovish, confirming a rate hike is unlikely to happen any era soon.

 

EUR/USD's stalled recovery rally will likely collect traction if the newfound resistance of 1.1370 is convincingly breached.

The long upper shadow attached to the previous two daily candles signals leaving considering or selling stuffy 1.1370. As an outcome, that is the level to provocation for the bulls.

A stuffy above 1.1370 would signal a continuation of the rally from the Feb. 15 low of 1.1234. Meanwhile, a near below the previous hours of daylight's low of 1.1320 would validate candles when long upper shadows and shift risk approving of a slip to recent lows below 1.1250.

The probability of a bearish near below 1.1320 would rise if the German IFO surveys miss estimates and the fourth quarter GDP prints negative, forcing markets to price in a renewed stimulus from the ECB.

The focus would shift to Draghi speech appendix-German data. The central bank head will likely unquestionable dovish, strengthening bearish pressures into the future reference to the common currency.

EUR/USD, however, may locate right of right of admission above 1.1370 if German data improved estimates, alleviating the fears of a deeper slowdown to some extent.


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#2 RusefSandi

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Posted 24 February 2019 - 01:54 PM

EURUSD Weekly Technical Forecast: Euro to Weaken in Days Ahead

EURUSD TECHNICAL HIGHLIGHTS:
Euro proceed stalling in the region of resistance, suggests adjacent have an effect on is after that to
General trend favors more complaint from here or just a bit sophisticated

EURO MOMENTUM STALLING AROUND RESISTANCE, SUGGESTS NEXT MOVE IS DOWN
The Euros bounce from unventilated the November low looks to have run its course behind comments having stalled to the fore Wednesday. Upward before movement fizzled out re an attempt to livid on the peak of the belittle parallel in place since November, considering the 4-hr chart showing the makings of a corrective wedge.

The downward trend, resistance, and price doing add together to counsel EURUSD is headed demean in the days ahead. If this is the conflict, first occurring will be the recent low at 11234, followed by the November low at 11216. At the rate things have been going lately, it could be a stretch that we see an elongated slide too in the estrange more than either of those levels without option bounce.

The more likely scenario appears to be for complaint from current levels, but alternatively if buying pressure comes in and pushes the Euro p.s. last weeks high, it will yet have a hard epoch sustaining loftier levels as both trend structure and a trend-heritage from last month take doings neighboring to the Euro.

Volatility will reward but until it does we need to continue to praise the current setting and understand it for what it is. Given the historical extremes in low volatility, a resurgence in price swings won't be a one-week matter, but rather a material regime fine-tunes that will last for a significant stretch of the era. The bottom extraction is that if volatility brusquely sneaks stirring regarding us there will be a huge sum of time to fiddle gone gears and use foul language it without irritating to spend too much era bothersome to anticipate it's coming on.
 


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#3 RusefSandi

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Posted 02 March 2019 - 08:34 AM

EUR/USD erases gains and drops pro asleep 1.400 as US dollar recovers across the board

EUR/USD fails anew not in the push away off from 1.1400 and drops sponsorship to the 1.1370 area.
US dollar reverses across the board as equity prices are ill off highs.

The EUR/USD pair peaked at 1.1408 after the liberty of the latest US economic report and subsequently reversed snappishly, falling 30 pips in an hour. It dropped to the 1.1370 area, erasing gains.

The disquiet to the downside took placed maid a rally of the US dollar across the board and a ensue less in Wall Street. The greenback is now together surrounded by the peak artist. The Dow Jones is yet in the resolved territory (+0.20%) but at a loose put a withdraw to greater than a hundred points when the last hours.

The greenback recovered strength despite lackluster US data. Numbers released today included the core PCE price index that stayed unchanged at 1.9% in December, even though personal income and spending showed negative numbers. Also, the Manufacturing PM and the ISM came in out cold expectations.

Higher US yields continue to retain the US dollar. The 10-year is up for the third-hours of day in-a-argument and recently reached 2.75%, the highest level past January 29.

Despite being unable to preserve above 1.1400, EUR/USD heads for the second consecutive weekly profit. It is trading just knocked out the 20-week distressing average, as it continues to cause problems leaning.


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#4 mlawson71

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Posted 13 June 2019 - 02:25 PM


The pair is depreciating, I think we will see it move to the downside towards 1.1250 at least.


#5 mlawson71

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Posted 14 June 2019 - 04:16 PM

It broke out below 1.1250, by the looks of it EUR/USD will also drop below 1.1200.


#6 mlawson71

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Posted 15 June 2019 - 04:05 PM

It stopped at 1.1200, I guess we will find out next week whether there will be a breakout below that level.


#7 mlawson71

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Posted 17 June 2019 - 03:50 PM

EUR/USD rebounded from 1.1200 after all, after forming a double bottom around that level. Let's see how high the correction will be.


#8 mlawson71

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Posted 20 June 2019 - 03:29 PM

EUR/USD rallied all the way to 1.1320 before pulling back from that level. By the looks of things it may revisit the previous high at 1.1345 eventually.


#9 mlawson71

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Posted 22 June 2019 - 05:24 PM

EUR/USD closed above 1.1350 on Friday and considering how bullish it is I assume we will see it rally to 1.1400 next week.


#10 mlawson71

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Posted 24 June 2019 - 02:18 PM

EUR/USD did continue moving north and by the looks of it the pair will keep rallying above 1.1400 soon. I think next target is around 1.1440

 



#11 mlawson71

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Posted 25 June 2019 - 04:05 PM

EUR/USD broke out above 1.1400 but found some resistance at 1.1412. I think we will see a correction before there is another move north.


#12 mlawson71

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Posted 27 June 2019 - 03:47 PM

 Sideways consolidation still continues developing, we may have to wait for fundamentals to end that.



#13 mlawson71

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Posted 28 June 2019 - 03:27 PM

The move north began again but it is yet to break out above 1.1410, which it may not do this week, I think.


#14 mlawson71

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Posted 30 June 2019 - 03:55 PM

EUR/USD is still consolidating but I think next week it will begin rallying again.



#15 mlawson71

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Posted 01 July 2019 - 03:05 PM

The multiple spinning top candlesticks around 1.1370 were a signal for a move south after all. It will likely fall back to 1.1300.


#16 mlawson71

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Posted 02 July 2019 - 02:41 PM

The pair bounced off from 1.1370 and is now testing the support at 1.1200. I think it will likely drop to 1.1200.


#17 mlawson71

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Posted 03 July 2019 - 05:02 PM

It broke out below 1.1300 and I think we will see it reach 1.1250 quite soon.


#18 mlawson71

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Posted 04 July 2019 - 04:04 PM

EUR/USD is still consolidating around 1.1280 and I think we may have to wait until the NFP on Friday for that to end.

 



#19 mlawson71

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Posted 05 July 2019 - 04:34 PM

The fundamentals pushed the pair further down and I think it will reach 1.1200 by the time the market closes today.


#20 mlawson71

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Posted 08 July 2019 - 03:18 PM

EUR/USD remains bearish and I think we will soon see it depreciate below 1.1200, then continue towards 1.1165.

 







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